The potential of residential property in Poland as an inflation hedge investment
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Departament of Finance, Wroclaw University of Economics and Business, Poland
Submission date: 2023-06-01
Final revision date: 2023-07-26
Acceptance date: 2023-09-12
Publication date: 2024-03-06
Corresponding author
Iwona Dittmann
Departament of Finance, Wroclaw University of Economics and Business, Poland
REMV; 2024;32(1):58-70
HIGHLIGHTS
- an innovative approach for inflation hedge ability examination
- realistic, optimistic and pessimistic scenarios with the use of 4 original inflation hedge ratios
- rositively assessed the potential of residential real estate in Poland as an inflation hedge investment
- the unambiguous effect of the lengthening of the horizon on hedging ability
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ABSTRACT
The research objective of the article was to assess the potential of residential property in Poland as an inflation hedge investment. The study was conducted using innovative measures of the level of inflation hedging. The study was made for Poland's six largest local residential markets, for two types of investments, for different investment horizons (from 6 to 15 years). The research period adopted was: 3Q2006-4Q2022. In all cities, investments providing only capital gains allowed an attractive inflation hedging level to be achieved. Investments that additionally included rental offered a high inflation hedging level. The variation in the six cities studied in terms of inflation hedging through housing investment was found to be very low. The question of how extending the investment horizon affected the inflation hedging ability was not firmly answered. Frequently, the extension of the investment horizon has been accompanied by an increase in the level of hedging.